Comments on: The psychology of expert predictions http://mindhacks.com/2011/06/18/the-psychology-of-expert-predictions/ Neuroscience and psychology news and views. Fri, 24 May 2013 17:03:23 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ By: Simoleon Sense » Blog Archive » Weekly Roundup 132: A Curated Linkfest For The Smartest People On The Web http://mindhacks.com/2011/06/18/the-psychology-of-expert-predictions/#comment-20067 Sun, 19 Jun 2011 16:56:23 +0000 http://mindhacks.com/?p=18386#comment-20067 [...] The psychology of expert predictions – via Mind Hacks- This week’s edition of BBC Radio 4 All in the Mind has a fantastic section on the psychology of knowledgeable predictions that bursts lots of bubbles about the power of experts but also discusses how to make more accurate predictions. [...]

]]> By: The psychology of expert predictions « Mind Hacks « Reading Business News http://mindhacks.com/2011/06/18/the-psychology-of-expert-predictions/#comment-20066 Sun, 19 Jun 2011 15:20:28 +0000 http://mindhacks.com/?p=18386#comment-20066 [...] The psychology of expert predictions « Mind Hacks. [...]

]]> By: Jerry http://mindhacks.com/2011/06/18/the-psychology-of-expert-predictions/#comment-20059 Sun, 19 Jun 2011 04:03:53 +0000 http://mindhacks.com/?p=18386#comment-20059 Google “The Fourth Turning”, 1997, C-SPAN on
You Tube. You will hear the authors in 1997 talking “future” economic problems including
the economic meltdown with uncanny precision.
It’s like they are on a 2011 talk show.
“Well, they talk in generalities…”
There is nothing clairvoyant about their
methods and it has a demographics for dummies
quality about it but it is amazing.

Imagine using intelligent agent DOD software?
Imagine that political parties,corporations,
nations use predictive algorithms to force
their opposition into corners.

When Obama went on 60 Minutes after being
elected he talked about being a good one
term president. Why? B/c the problems he
faced, 2 unfunded wars, depression economics
were probably too much to overcome in 4 years.
Do you think it just happened that way?
Do you think he was just being humble after
his victory? Read “Angler” about Dick Cheney
and think again.

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