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	<title>Comments on: Teenagers: hyper-mortals</title>
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	<link>http://mindhacks.com/2010/02/18/teenagers-hyper-mortals/</link>
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		<title>By: Dorian Taylor</title>
		<link>http://mindhacks.com/2010/02/18/teenagers-hyper-mortals/#comment-5068</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dorian Taylor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 22:11:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The first thing that sprung to mind was how we tend to &quot;medium-size&quot; figures. If the question was &quot;what is the percentage of likelihood that you will die in the next year?&quot; you will probably get different answers than something like:
&quot;In what order of magnitude is the likelihood you will die in the next year? a) between 1:100 and 1:1,000 b) between 1:1000 and 1:100,000 c) 1:100,000 and 1:1,000,000 and d) smaller than 1:1,000,000&quot;.
Then there is the issue of whether or not a 14-year-old even understands a question like that, so crafting its representation would be important. Of course there are also potential issues of framing/anchoring and other similar fun.
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The first thing that sprung to mind was how we tend to &#8220;medium-size&#8221; figures. If the question was &#8220;what is the percentage of likelihood that you will die in the next year?&#8221; you will probably get different answers than something like:<br />
&#8220;In what order of magnitude is the likelihood you will die in the next year? a) between 1:100 and 1:1,000 b) between 1:1000 and 1:100,000 c) 1:100,000 and 1:1,000,000 and d) smaller than 1:1,000,000&#8243;.<br />
Then there is the issue of whether or not a 14-year-old even understands a question like that, so crafting its representation would be important. Of course there are also potential issues of framing/anchoring and other similar fun.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Jake</title>
		<link>http://mindhacks.com/2010/02/18/teenagers-hyper-mortals/#comment-5067</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jake]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 19:42:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[What would be more interesting is to show that teenagers overestimate their chances of death *relative to other age groups*. As Baruch knows, people in general have a hard time making these kinds of numerical estimates.
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What would be more interesting is to show that teenagers overestimate their chances of death *relative to other age groups*. As Baruch knows, people in general have a hard time making these kinds of numerical estimates.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Leslie</title>
		<link>http://mindhacks.com/2010/02/18/teenagers-hyper-mortals/#comment-5066</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ian Leslie]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 18:53:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mindhacksblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/18/teenagers-hyper-mortals/#comment-5066</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Explains Goths.
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Explains Goths.</p>
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